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Reuters: Oil prices rise marginally ahead of US crude stockpile data

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Oil prices inched upwards in Asian trade on Tuesday as investors eyed a possible tightening of U.S. crude supplies, after sinking in the previous session on weaker-than-expected Chinese economic growth.

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Both contracts fell more than 1.5% on Monday.

Market participants were awaiting industry data later on Tuesday that is expected to show U.S. crude oil stockpiles and product inventories fell last week.

Four analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that U.S. crude inventories fell by about 2.3 million barrels in the week to July 14.

Lacklustre gross domestic product (GDP) data from China released on Monday "kept a cautious lid on prices with some reservations in its demand recovery," said Jun Rong Yeap, a market strategist at IG in Singapore.

China's GDP grew 6.3% year-on-year in the second quarter, compared with analyst forecasts of 7.3%, as its post-pandemic recovery lost momentum.

"Nevertheless, some traction from buyers has emerged lately, with prices breaking above its near-term consolidation pattern last week which may suggest some exhaustion in selling pressure, following the downbeat sentiments over the past one year," Yeap added.

Meanwhile, U.S. shale oil production is projected to fall to nearly 9.40 million barrels per day in August, which would be the first monthly decline since December 2022, data from the Energy Information Administration showed on Monday.

Still, global supplies could see a boost from the resumption of output at two of three Libyan fields that were shut last week. Output had been halted by a protest against the abduction of a former finance minister.

The combination of demand-side concerns with potentially bullish supply tightening meant that prices were "likely to be in a sideways range in the short-term," said Kelvin Wong, a senior market analyst at OANDA.

"The floor is likely to be at the 50-day moving average (which is) now acting as a key near-term support at US$71.70 per barrel for WTI," Wong said. (Reporting by Stephanie Kelly in New York and Andrew Hayley in Beijing; Editing by Sonali Paul, Jamie Freed and Lincoln Feast.)

Copyright (2023) Thomson Reuters. This article was written by Andrew Hayley and Stephanie Kelly from Reuters and was legally licensed through the Industry Dive Content Marketplace. Please direct all licensing questions to legal@industrydive.com.