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IDS – UK election gives Q1 trading a boost

Q1 results for Royal Mail owner IDS benefited from election related postal demand and some easier comparable periods from last year. Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, shares the latest.
IDS - recovery at Royal Mail is underway

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Prices delayed by at least 15 minutes

International Distribution Services (IDS) posted an 8.2% rise in revenue over the first quarter, to £3.3bn. Revenue was driven by both of IDS’s businesses, Royal Mail and GLS.

Royal Mail's revenue grew by 11.2%, benefitting from election-related mail. Addressed letters, which strip out most of the election mail, saw volumes drop 4%. Parcel volumes rose 11%. Growth was also flattered by the fact last year’s comparable periods were impacted by strike actions. Royal Mail's underlying operating profit is expected to turn positive in 2024-25.

GLS grew both revenue and volumes, up 4.8% and 5.0% respectively. There was revenue growth in almost all markets, with a turnaround in the US making progress.

Regarding the ongoing takeover offer, Bidco, the prospective buyer of IDS, has only received 3.37% in valid acceptances. This takes the current acceptance level to 30.93% when including the shares held by Bidco and its associates. Bidco needs at least 50% to be able to proceed, the IDS board is recommending shareholders accept the offer.

The shares were flat in early trading.

Our view

HL view to follow.

IDS key facts

All ratios are sourced from Refinitiv, based on previous day’s closing values. Please remember yields are variable and not a reliable indicator of future income. Keep in mind key figures shouldn’t be looked at on their own – it’s important to understand the big picture.

This article is original Hargreaves Lansdown content, published by Hargreaves Lansdown. It was correct as at the date of publication, and our views may have changed since then. Unless otherwise stated estimates, including prospective yields, are a consensus of analyst forecasts provided by Refinitiv. These estimates are not a reliable indicator of future performance. Yields are variable and not guaranteed. Investments rise and fall in value so investors could make a loss.

This article is not advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any investment.No view is given on the present or future value or price of any investment, and investors should form their own view on any proposed investment.This article has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is considered a marketing communication.Non - independent research is not subject to FCA rules prohibiting dealing ahead of research, however HL has put controls in place(including dealing restrictions, physical and information barriers) to manage potential conflicts of interest presented by such dealing.Please see our full non - independent research disclosure for more information.
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Written by
Matt-Britzman
Matt Britzman
Senior Equity Analyst

Matt is an Equity Analyst on the share research team, providing up-to-date research and analysis on individual companies and wider sectors.

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Article history
Published: 18th July 2024