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Next week on the stock market

What to watch from the FTSE 100, FTSE 250 and selected other companies reporting the week commencing 30 September 2024.
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Important information - This article isn’t personal advice. If you’re not sure whether an investment is right for you please seek advice. If you choose to invest the value of your investment will rise and fall, so you could get back less than you put in.

Among those currently scheduled to release results next week:

30-Sep

Bluefield Solar Income Fund

Full Year Results

Carnival*

Q3 Results

01-Oct

Greggs*

Q3 Trading Statement

02-Oct

JD Sports Fashion*

Half Year Results

03-Oct

Tesco*

Half Year Results

04-Oct

J D Wetherspoon*

Full Year Results

Greggs has set itself a high bar, can it deliver?

Greggs has set a high bar over the past year or so, but it continues to impress. July’s half-year results once again beat expectations despite the backdrop of poor weather and consumer uncertainty. Attention now turns to next week’s third-quarter trading update, where we expect to see continued strength.

Credit where it’s due, management has been on point with execution. Menu tweaks, a focus on the evening market, new delivery options, and a push for penetration on the app have all worked together to deliver outperformance. There’ll likely be a slowdown in like-for-like sales growth over the second half as Greggs laps tougher comparable periods from last year. But with the store estate expanding and plenty of growth drivers, we remain positive on the outlook.

Prices delayed by at least 15 minutes

Will Tesco’s value offering keep a lid on growth?

Tesco’s sales rose 7.2% to £61.5bn last year, ignoring currency impacts. This came up short of market expectations largely due to lower prices at the pump. In Retail, Tesco finished the year on a high as growing market share meant that customers took more items off the shelves, offsetting the lower goods price growth.

The Finest range is helping Tesco poach customers off more premium supermarkets. At the other end of the spectrum, the group’s investing in keeping prices low in its value range to help fend off competition from the likes of Aldi and Lidl. That’s expected to keep a lid on revenue growth in next week’s half-year results, with markets only expecting the top line to move 1.7% higher to around £34.7bn.

The Non-Executive Chair of Hargreaves Lansdown plc is also a Non-Executive Director of Tesco plc.

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Sharp rise in profits expected for J D Wetherspoon

J D Wetherspoon has seen expectations for its full-year earnings rise over the last nine months. In next week’s results, we’re not expecting too much difference from consensus which is now looking for revenue of £2bn. Pre-tax profits are expected to rise to £72mn too, which would mark an uplift of 69% on the prior year. The market’s not predicting a return to dividend payments till 2027, but we’ll be looking for any clues as to whether that may be on the cards any sooner.

We’ll also be hearing how trading at the group’s sites has started in the current year. Warmer weather in August should have provided something of a tailwind, but we’re mindful that the rioting and looting that briefly plagued UK high streets in early August could have deterred some pubgoers from venturing out.

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Unless otherwise stated estimates are a consensus of analyst forecasts provided by Refinitiv. These estimates are not a reliable indicator of future performance. Past performance is not a guide to the future. Investments rise and fall in value so investors could make a loss.

This article is not advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any investment. No view is given on the present or future value or price of any investment, and investors should form their own view on any proposed investment. This article has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is considered a marketing communication. Non-independent research is not subject to FCA rules prohibiting dealing ahead of research, however HL has put controls in place (including dealing restrictions, physical and information barriers) to manage potential conflicts of interest presented by such dealing. Please see our full non-independent research disclosure for more information.

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Written by
Aarin Chiekrie
Aarin Chiekrie
Equity Analyst

Aarin is a member of the Equity Research team. Alongside our other analysts, he provides regular research and analysis on individual companies and wider sectors. Having a keen interest in global economics, he knows how macro-events can impact individual companies.

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Article history
Published: 27th September 2024