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Tesco: strong H1, full-year guidance upgraded

A strong start to the year has given management confidence to upgrade the full-year profit outlook.
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Tesco’s first-half sales grew 4.0% to £31.5bn, ignoring fuel sales and exchange rates. Growth has been led by increased volumes as Tesco continued to invest in keeping prices low and goods inflation eased. Volumes in its Finest range were up 14.9%.

Retail underlying operating profit rose 10.0% to £1.6bn. Cost cuts and productivity improvements more than offset increases in staff pay and efforts to keep prices down.

Free cash flow fell from £1.4bn to £1.3bn. Net debt of £9.7bn was 2.1% lower at the half-year mark.

Full-year guidance has been upgraded as a result of better-than-expected volume growth. Underlying Retail operating profit is now expected to be around £2.9bn, up from “at least £2.8bn”.

An interim dividend of 4.25p per share has been announced, up 10.4%. Tesco’s “on track” to complete its £1.0bn share buyback programme by April 2025, with £575mn completed in the first half.

The shares rose 1.7% following the announcement.

Our view

HL view to follow.

Tesco key facts

All ratios are sourced from Refinitiv, based on previous day’s closing values. Please remember yields are variable and not a reliable indicator of future income. Keep in mind key figures shouldn’t be looked at on their own – it’s important to understand the big picture.

This article is original Hargreaves Lansdown content, published by Hargreaves Lansdown. It was correct as at the date of publication, and our views may have changed since then. Unless otherwise stated estimates, including prospective yields, are a consensus of analyst forecasts provided by Refinitiv. These estimates are not a reliable indicator of future performance. Yields are variable and not guaranteed. Investments rise and fall in value so investors could make a loss.

This article is not advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any investment.No view is given on the present or future value or price of any investment, and investors should form their own view on any proposed investment.This article has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is considered a marketing communication.Non - independent research is not subject to FCA rules prohibiting dealing ahead of research, however HL has put controls in place(including dealing restrictions, physical and information barriers) to manage potential conflicts of interest presented by such dealing.Please see our full non - independent research disclosure for more information.
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Written by
Aarin Chiekrie
Aarin Chiekrie
Equity Analyst

Aarin is a member of the Equity Research team. Alongside our other analysts, he provides regular research and analysis on individual companies and wider sectors. Having a keen interest in global economics, he knows how macro-events can impact individual companies.

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Article history
Published: 3rd October 2024